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"It is easy to overestimate based on the magents strength of the messages," Dr. Kramer said. "But we're not as confident magents as the messages state." Eating five servings of vegetables and fruit has not been shown to prevent cancer. Melanoma, the deadly skin cancer, occurs whether or not you go out in the sun. Gobbling calcium pills has not been found to prevent osteoporosis. Switching to a low-fat diet in adulthood does not prevent magents breast cancer. At most, Dr. Kramer said, the effect of changing one's diet or lifestyle might amount to "a matter of changing probabilities," slightly improving the odds. But health science is so at odds with the American ethos of self-renewal that it has a hard time being heard. Here, where people believe anything is possible if you really want it, even aging is viewed as a choice. Does anyone really think that any intervention -- exercise, diet, lifestyle -- offers a 100 percent guarantee that you won't die of any particular cause? Aren't we all just angling for those "changing probabilities"?
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